You cannot predict which attempt will land, so the only reliable lever is making more attempts.
The examples used to argue it — Picasso, Edison — are exactly the survivorship the manual criticises elsewhere. The prolific creators who stayed obscure are not available to be cited.
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Typed edges. Anything below the line was authored on the other note and derived here.
supports →Luck is not a random draw but a function of how much contact you maintain with the space where opportunity moves.The most direct way to enlarge the contact zone: each additional attempt is another point where opportunity can intersect you.
example-of →Optionality pays when you do not need to be right — many cheap tries, each with a capped loss and an open upside.Many cheap tries with capped losses and one uncapped winner. The rule is convexity restated for a career rather than a portfolio.
← requiresYou cannot identify the attempts that will matter without making the ones that will not.
The justification the volume rule needs. Without the discovery argument, "make more attempts" is just hustle; with it, volume is the only available sampling method for a distribution you cannot see in advance.