Risk is a modern invention — for most of history the future was fate, and the idea it could be measured is only a few centuries old.
Bernstein’s suggestion for why the Greeks never got there despite dice and geometry: you cannot measure a future you believe is authored by someone else.
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Typed edges. Anything below the line was authored on the other note and derived here.
prerequisite-of →Probability theory works on repeatable events; the decisions that matter most are usually one-offs it was never built for.You cannot ask which uncertainties are measurable until measurement itself exists as a category. The distinction is downstream of the invention.